# dice pool outcome probability calculator

2 replies to this topic

### #1 Yepesnopes

Yepesnopes

Member

• Members
• 1,478 posts

Posted 20 January 2013 - 07:01 AM

Has anyone done a program, excel sheet, or similar that calculates the probabilities of success and/or possible outcomes of a given dice pool for SW EotE?

Cheers,

Yepes

The Book of the Asur - High Elf fan supplement

The Dark Side - Witches, Warlocks, Dark Magic and more

Secrets of the Anvil - Advanced Dwarf careers and runes

Dice statistics calculator for SW EotE

### #2 aramis

aramis

Member

• Members
• 996 posts

Posted 21 January 2013 - 09:10 AM

I haven't seen one. However, I was planning on doing some more detailed stat analysis than I had. I'll repost the averages… corrected from prior postings.

Die

Success

Blue +8/24 +16/24
Green +15/24 +15/24
Yellow* +20/24 +16/24
Black -8/24 -8/24
Purple -12/24 -18/24
Red* -18/24 -16/24
White** W=16/24 B=16/24

* Includes Triumph/Despair as Success/Failure.

-X successes are +X failures

More rigorously, tho, averages don't tell the whole story.

For example, since it's simple enough…

Force Dice example

 1W 2 W 3w oo 3/12 = 25.0% o 2/12 = 16.6% 7/12 =  58.3% oooo 9/144 =   6.3% ooo 12/144 =   8.3% oo 46/144 = 31.9% o 28/144 = 19.4% 49/144 = 34.0% oooooo 27/1728 =   1.6% ooooo 54/1728 =   3.1% oooo 225/1728+ = 13.0% ooo  260/1728 =   15.0% oo  525/1728 =  30.4% o  294/1728 = 17.0% 343/1728 =  19.8% 5/12 =   41.7% • 6/12 = 50.0% •• 1/12 =   8.3% 25/144 = 17.4% • 60/144 = 41.6% •• 46/144 = 31.9% ••• 12/144 =   8.3% •••• 1/144 =   0.7% 125/1728 = 7.2% • 450/1728 = 26.0% •• 615/1728 = 35.6% ••• 396/1728 = 22.9% •••• 123/1728 =   7.1% ••••• 18/1728 =   1.0% •••••• 1/1728 =   0.1%

### #3 Kallabecca

Kallabecca

Member

• Members
• 943 posts

Posted 21 January 2013 - 04:36 PM

Might want to keep this all in one thread.

© 2013 Fantasy Flight Publishing, Inc. Fantasy Flight Games and the FFG logo are ® of Fantasy Flight Publishing, Inc.  All rights reserved.