Jump to content



Photo

Android app for dice roll probabilities


  • Please log in to reply
3 replies to this topic

#1 argwinkle

argwinkle

    Member

  • Members
  • 41 posts

Posted 07 November 2011 - 09:53 PM

Hi,

I've written a small Android app that displays the basic dice probabilities, because I never could figure out how probable it was to get a certain number of successes, especially for flanking attacks.

Lets you know, for example, that the chance to capture Gregor or Rob with a 5-dice flanking attack is just 6.3%.

Maybe someone else finds it useful, too. It's free (as in free beer).

https://market.andro...keh.arollofdice

I'm happy about any kind of feedback (good or bad).

Regards,

Chris



#2 madeofashes

madeofashes

    Member

  • Members
  • 1 posts

Posted 09 December 2011 - 10:37 AM

 thank you, those mediocre probabilities to capture robb and gregor explains a lot of ever lasting games around here ;)



#3 argwinkle

argwinkle

    Member

  • Members
  • 41 posts

Posted 11 December 2011 - 11:56 PM

 Well, "mediocre" is putting it rather mildly. I don't think there is a realistic chance to capture a red commander with capture rating 4. Actually, if you define "mediocre" to be about a 30% chance of success, you would need a 11-dice (28.67%) or 12-dice (35.12%) combined attack.

Because of this, I consider the "reduced strength units" optional rule rather important. Gregor is not that problematic because he is infantry, but for Rob, it helps if he gets only 3 dice to attack.

I still like the rules as they are. Robb as King of the North is a problem for Lannister, but coping with him is part of the fun.



#4 argwinkle

argwinkle

    Member

  • Members
  • 41 posts

Posted 12 December 2011 - 12:00 AM

argwinkle said:

Actually, if you define "mediocre" to be about a 30% chance of success, you would need a 11-dice (28.67%) or 12-dice (35.12%) combined attack.

To clarify: that's including valor. If you attack Robb with infantry, make that 22 dice for a chance of 29% 






© 2013 Fantasy Flight Publishing, Inc. Fantasy Flight Games and the FFG logo are ® of Fantasy Flight Publishing, Inc.  All rights reserved.
Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | Contact | User Support | Rules Questions | Help | RSS